Development and validation of nomograms to predict survival and recurrence after hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced (BCLC stage B/C) hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Despite the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system discouraging hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, the procedure is still performed worldwide, particularly in Asia. This study aimed to develop and validate nomograms for predicting survival and recurrence for these patients. METHODS: We analyzed patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma between 2010 and 2020 across 3 Chinese hospitals. The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital cohort was used as the training cohort for the nomogram construction, and the Jilin First Hospital and Fujian Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital cohorts served as the external validation cohorts. Independent preoperative predictors for survival and recurrence were identified through univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Predictive accuracy was measured using the concordance index and calibration curves. The predictive performance between nomograms and conventional hepatocellular carcinoma staging systems was compared. RESULTS: A total of 1,328 patients met the inclusion criteria. The nomograms for predicting survival and recurrence were developed using 10 and 6 independent variables, respectively. Nomograms' concordance indices in the training cohort were 0.777 (95% confidence interval 0.759-0.800) and 0.719 (95% confidence interval 0.697-0.742) for survival and recurrence, outperforming 4 conventional staging systems (P < .001). Nomograms accurately stratified risk into low, intermediate, and high subgroups. These results were validated well by 2 external validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated nomograms predicting survival and recurrence for patients with intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, contradicting Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer surgical guidelines. These nomograms may facilitate clinicians to formulate personalized surgical decisions, estimate long-term prognosis, and strategize neoadjuvant/adjuvant anti-recurrence therapy.

Conversion therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of precision medicine: Current status, challenges and opportunities.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most prevalent malignancy of the digestive tract, is characterized by a high mortality rate and poor prognosis, primarily due to its initial diagnosis at an advanced stage that precludes any surgical intervention. Recent advancements in systemic therapies have significantly improved oncological outcomes for intermediate and advanced-stage HCC, and the combination of locoregional and systemic therapies further facilitates tumor downstaging and increases the likelihood of surgical resectability for initially unresectable cases following conversion therapies. This shift toward high conversion rates with novel, multimodal treatment approaches has become a principal pathway for prolonged survival in patients with advanced HCC. However, the field of conversion therapy for HCC is marked by controversies, including the selection of potential surgical candidates, formulation of conversion therapy regimens, determination of optimal surgical timing, and application of adjuvant therapy post-surgery. Addressing these challenges and refining clinical protocols and research in HCC conversion therapy is essential for setting the groundwork for future advancements in treatment strategies and clinical research. This narrative review comprehensively summarizes the current strategies and clinical experiences in conversion therapy for advanced-stage HCC, emphasizing the unresolved issues and the path forward in the context of precision medicine. This work not only provides a comprehensive overview of the evolving landscape of treatment modalities for conversion therapy but also paves the way for future studies and innovations in this field.

Grading severity of microscopic vascular invasion was independently associated with recurrence and survival following hepatectomy for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: Hepatectomy is the preferred treatment for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macrovascular invasion and distant metastasis, but long-term survival remains unsatisfactory in certain patients. We sought to identify whether the grading severity of microscopic vascular invasion (MVI) was associated with recurrence and survival among patients with solitary HCC. Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy for solitary HCC were identified from a multicenter prospectively-collected database. Patients were categorized into three groups according to the MVI grading system proposed by the Liver Cancer Pathology Group of China: M0 (no MVI), M1 (1-5 sites of MVI occurring ≤1.0 cm away from the tumor), and M2 (>5 sites occurring ≤1.0 cm or any site occurring >1 cm away from the tumor). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared among the groups. Results: Among 227 patients, 97 (42.7%), 83 (36.6%), and 47 (20.7%) patients had M0, M1, and M2, respectively. Median RFS rates among patients with M0, M1, and M2 were 38.3, 35.1, 11.6 months, respectively, while OS rates were 66.8, 62.3, 30.6 months, respectively (both P<0.001). Multivariate Cox-regression analyses demonstrated that both M1 and M2 were independent risk factors for RFS (hazard ratio 1.20, 95% CI: 1.03-1.89, P=0.040; and hazard ratio 1.67, 95% CI: 1.06-2.64, P=0.027) and OS (hazard ratio 1.28, 95% CI: 1.05-2.07, P=0.035; and hazard ratio 1.97, 95% CI: 1.15-3.38, P=0.013). Conclusions: Grading severity of MVI was independently associated with RFS and OS after hepatectomy for solitary HCC. Enhanced surveillance for recurrence and potentially adjuvant therapy may be considered for patients with MVI, especially individuals with more severe MVI grading (M2).

Development and validation of prealbumin-bilirubin score (preALBI score) for predicting long-term survival after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter analysis versus ALBI score.

BACKGROUND: The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score, widely used in predicting long-term prognosis for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has limitations due to serum albumin variability. This study aimed to develop and validate the Prealbumin-Bilirubin (preALBI) score as a reliable alternative. METHODS: A multicenter cohort of HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy was randomly divided into the training and validation cohorts. The preALBI score was developed using Cox regression models within the training cohort, incorporating serum prealbumin and bilirubin levels as crucial determinants. The survival predictive accuracy was evaluated and compared between the preALBI score with two other staging systems, including the ALBI score and the Child-Pugh grade. RESULTS: A total of 2409 patients were enrolled. In the training cohort, the preALBI score demonstrated superior performance in predicting long-term survival after hepatectomy. The preALBI score was associated with the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ2: 72.84) and homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ2: 74.69), and the highest discriminatory ability (the areas under curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality: 0.663, 0.654, and 0.644, respectively). In addition, the preALBI was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (Akaike information criterion: 11325.65).The results remained consistent in both training and validation cohorts, indicating its reliable performance across different populations. CONCLUSION: The preALBI score, leveraging the stability of prealbumin, represents a promising tool for better patient stratification, providing more accurate prognostic predictions than the ALBI score and the Child-Pugh grade.

Efficacy of ginseng-based Renshenguben oral solution for cancer-related fatigue among patients with advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: A prospective multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cancer-related fatigue (CRF) is a common and debilitating symptom experienced by patients with advanced-stage cancer, especially those undergoing antitumor therapy. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Renshenguben (RSGB) oral solution, a ginseng-based traditional Chinese medicine, in alleviating CRF in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving antitumor treatment. METHODS: In this prospective, open-label, controlled, multicenter study, patients with advanced HCC at BCLC stage C and a brief fatigue inventory (BFI) score of ≥ 4 were enrolled. Participants were assigned to the RSGB group (RSGB, 10 mL twice daily) or the control group (with supportive care). Primary and secondary endpoints were the change in multidimensional fatigue inventory (MFI) score, and BFI and functional assessment of cancer therapy-hepatobiliary (FACT-Hep) scores at weeks 4 and 8 after enrollment. Adverse events (AEs) and toxicities were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 409 participants were enrolled, with 206 assigned to the RSGB group. At week 4, there was a trend towards improvement, but the differences were not statistically significant. At week 8, the RSGB group exhibited a significantly lower MFI score (P < 0.05) compared to the control group, indicating improved fatigue levels. Additionally, the RSGB group showed significantly greater decrease in BFI and FACT-Hep scores at week 8 (P < 0.05). Subgroup analyses among patients receiving various antitumor treatments showed similar results. Multivariate linear regression analyses revealed that the RSGB group experienced a significantly substantial decrease in MFI, BFI, and FACT-Hep scores at week 8. No serious drug-related AEs or toxicities were observed. CONCLUSIONS: RSGB oral solution effectively reduced CRF in patients with advanced HCC undergoing antitumor therapy over an eight-week period, with no discernible toxicities. These findings support the potential of RSGB oral solution as an adjunctive treatment for managing CRF in this patient population.

Prognostic Value of Serum α-Fetoprotein Level as an Important Characteristic of Tumor Biology for Patients Undergoing Liver Resection of Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma (BCLC Stage 0/A): A Large Multicenter Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) algorithm, tumor burden and liver function, but not tumor biology, are the key factors in determining tumor staging and treatment modality, and evaluating treatment prognosis. The serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level is an important characteristic of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) biology, and we aimed to evaluate its prognostic value for patients undergoing liver resection of early-stage HCC. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative liver resection for early-stage HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Patients were divided into three groups according to preoperative AFP levels: low (< 400 ng/mL), high (400-999 ng/mL), and extremely-high (≥ 1000 ng/mL) AFP groups. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence rates were compared among these three groups. RESULTS: Among 1284 patients, 720 (56.1%), 262 (20.4%), and 302 (23.5%) patients had preoperative low, high, and extremely-high AFP levels, respectively. The cumulative 5-year OS and recurrence rates were 71.3 and 38.9% among patients in the low AFP group, 66.3 and 48.5% in the high AFP group, and 45.7 and 67.2% in the extremely-high AFP group, respectively (both p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified both high and extremely-high AFP levels to be independent risk factors of OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.275 and 1.978, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.004-1.620 and 1.588-2.464, respectively; p = 0.047 and p < 0.001, respectively) and recurrence (HR 1.290 and 2.050, 95% CI 1.047-1.588 and 1.692-2.484, respectively; p = 0.017 and p < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the important prognostic value of preoperative AFP levels among patients undergoing resection for early-stage HCC. Incorporating AFP to prognostic estimation of the BCLC algorithm can help guide individualized risk stratification and identify neoadjuvant/adjuvant treatment necessity.

Integrated analysis of intratumoral biomarker and tumor-associated macrophage to improve the prognosis prediction in cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The lack of effective and accurate predictive indicators remains a major bottleneck for the improvement of the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Hepatitis B virus X (HBx) has been widely suggested as a critical pathogenic protein for HBV-driven liver carcinogenesis, while tumor-associated macrophage (TAM) infiltration is also closely related to the tumorigenesis and progression of HCC. However, few studies have determined whether combining HBx expression with TAM populations could increase the accuracy of prognostic prediction for HBV-related HCC. METHODS: The study cohort enrolling 251 patients with HBV-related HCC was randomly split into a training and a validation group (ratio 1:1). The expression levels of HBx and TAM marker CD68 in HCC samples were detected by immunohistochemistry. Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) analysis were conducted to evaluate the prognostic significance of these indicators alone or in combination. RESULTS: The expression level of HBx was strongly correlated with CD68+ TAM infiltration in HCC tissues. Elevated HBx or CD68 expression indicated poorer overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) after hepatectomy, and both of them were independent risk factors for postoperative survival. Meanwhile, patients with both high HBx and CD68 levels had worst clinical outcomes. Moreover, integrating HBx and CD68 expression with clinical indicators (tumor size and micro-vascular invasion) showed the best prognostic potential with highest C-index value for survival predictivity, and this proposed model also performed better than several conventional classifications of HCC. CONCLUSION: Combining the expression of intratumoral HBx, CD68+ TAM population and clinical variables could enable better prognostication for HBV-related HCC after hepatectomy, thus providing novel insights into developing more effective clinical prediction model based on both molecular phenotypes and tumor-immune microenvironment.

Association of tumor morphology with long-term prognosis after liver resection for patients with a solitary huge hepatocellular carcinoma-a multicenter propensity score matching analysis.

Background: A solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macrovascular invasion and distant metastasis, regardless of tumor size, is currently classified as early-stage disease by the latest Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system. While the preferred treatment is surgical resection, the association of tumor morphology with long-term survival outcomes after liver resection for a solitary huge HCC of ≥10 cm has not been defined. Methods: Patients who underwent curative liver resection for a solitary huge HCC were identified from a multicenter database. Preoperative imaging findings were used to define spherical- or ellipsoidal-shaped lesions with smooth edges as balloon-shaped HCCs (BS-HCCs); out-of-shape lesions or lesions of any shape with matt edges were defined as non-balloon-shaped HCCs (NBS-HCCs). The two groups of patients with BS-HCCs and NBS-HCCs were matched in a 1:1 ratio using propensity score matching (PSM). Clinicopathologic characteristics, long-term overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were assessed. Results: Among patients with a solitary huge HCC, 74 pairs of patients with BS-HCC and NBS-HCC were matched. Tumor pathological features including proportions of microvascular invasion, satellite nodules, and incomplete tumor encapsulation in the BS-HCC group were lower than the NBS-HCC group. At a median follow-up of 50.7 months, median OS and RFS of all patients with a solitary huge HCC after PSM were 27.8 and 10.1 months, respectively. The BS-HCC group had better median OS and RFS than the NBS-HCC group (31.9 vs. 21.0 months, P=0.01; and 19.7 vs. 6.4 months, P=0.015). Multivariate analyses identified BS-HCC as independently associated with better OS (HR =0.592, P=0.009) and RFS (HR =0.633, P=0.013). Conclusions: For a solitary huge HCC, preoperative imaging on tumor morphology was associated with prognosis following resection. In particular, patients with BS-HCCs had better long-term survival following liver resection versus patients with large NBS-HCCs.

Single-cell analysis reveals HBV-specific PD-1+CD8+ TRM cells in tumor borders are associated with HBV-related hepatic damage and fibrosis in HCC patients.

Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection may activate viral-specific T cells to attack HBV infected hepatocytes and thus induce immune-related liver injury. Therefore, it is important to deeply understand the impacts of HBV infection on HCC immune microenvironment in order to better design effective immunotherapies for HBV+ (HBV infected) HCC patients. Here, We performed cytometry by time-of-flight (CyTOF) analyses to characterize the distinct immune compositions of HCC tumors, tumor borders, and their associations with HCC/HBV related clinical characteristics. We identified 31 distinct immune clusters and found significant associations between immune signatures with clinicopathological features of HCC. We further revealed the HBV infection had more effects on shaping immune compositions in tumor borders than in tumors, with the significant enrichment of HBV-specific PD-1+CD8+ tissue-resident memory T (TRM) cells in tumor borders of HBV+ patients. We confirmed this subset with a more exhausted phenotype and respond more actively under anti-PD-L1 treatment, suggesting its involvement in immune-related liver injury induced by ICB treatment to HBV+ HCC patients. Our study shows it may be necessary to consider antiviral prophylaxis for HBV+ HCC patients receiving ICB treatment.

Postoperative infectious complications following laparoscopic versus open hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter propensity score analysis of 3876 patients.

OBJECTIVES: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common indication for hepatectomy that is often complicated by postoperative complication. The authors sought to investigate the relationship between the open with laparoscopic approach of hepatectomy and incidences of postoperative infectious complications. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using a multicenter database, HCC patients who underwent laparoscopic hepatectomy (LH) or open hepatectomy (OH) were reviewed and analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM), inverse probability of treatment weight (IPTW), and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to assess the association of the operative approach with postoperative infectious complications, including incisional surgical site infection (SSI), organ/space SSI, and remote infection (RI). RESULTS: Among 3876 patients, 845 (21.8%) and 3031 (78.2%) patients underwent LH and OH, respectively. The overall incidence of infection was 6.9 versus 14.6% among patients who underwent LH versus OH, respectively ( P <0.001). Of note, the incidences of incisional SSI (1.8 vs. 6.3%, P <0.001), organ/space SSI (1.8 vs. 4.6%, P <0.001), and RI (3.8 vs. 9.8%, P <0.001) were all significantly lower among patients who underwent LH versus OH. After PSM (6.9, 1.8, 1.8, and 3.8% vs. 18.5, 8.4, 5.2, and 12.8%, respectively) and IPTW (9.5, 2.3, 2.1, and 5.5% vs. 14.3, 6.3, 4.5, and 9.8%, respectively), LH remained associated with statistically lower incidences of all types of infectious complications. After adjustment for other confounding factors on multivariate analyses, LH remained independently associated with lower incidences of overall infection, incisional SSI, organ/space SSI, and RI in the overall, PSM, and IPTW cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSION: Compared with open approach, laparoscopic approach was independently associated with lower incidences of postoperative infectious complications following hepatectomy for HCC.

Predictors and long-term prognosis of early and late recurrence for patients undergoing hepatic resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a large-scale multicenter study.

Background: Recurrence is common among patients undergoing hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which greatly limits long-term survival. We aimed to identify predictors and long-term prognosis of early and late recurrence after HCC resection. Methods: Multicenter data of patients who underwent HCC resection between 2002 and 2016 were analyzed. Recurrence was divided into early (≤2 years) and late recurrence (>2 years after surgery). Predictors of early and late recurrence, and prognostic factors of post-recurrence survival (PRS) were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Among 1,426 patients, 554 (38.8%) and 348 (24.4%) developed early and late recurrence, respectively. Independent predictors associated with early recurrence included preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level >400 µg/L, resection margin <1 cm, and tumor size >5.0 cm, multiplicity, macrovascular and microvascular invasion, and satellites of the initial tumor at the first diagnosis of HCC; independent predictors associated with late recurrence included male, cirrhosis, and tumor size >5.0 cm, multiplicity, macrovascular and microvascular invasion, and satellites of the initial tumor. Patients with early recurrence had a lower likelihood of undergoing potentially curative treatments for recurrence (37.2% vs. 48.0%, P<0.001) and a worse median PRS (13.5 vs. 36.6 months, P<0.001) vs. patients who had late recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that early recurrence and irregular postoperative surveillance were independently associated with worse PRS [hazard ratio (HR) =1.250, 95% CI: 1.016-1.538, P=0.035; and HR =1.983, 95% CI: 1.677-2.345, P<0.001]. Conclusions: Predictors associated with early and late recurrence after curative resection for patients with HCC were generally same, although several did differ. Patients with late recurrence had better long-term survival than patients with early recurrence.

Association of severity in the grading of microvascular invasion with long-term oncological prognosis after liver resection for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective cohort study from a hepatitis B virus-endemic area.

BACKGROUND: The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant malignant pathological feature related to recurrence and survival after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the severity in the grading of MVI and long-term oncological outcomes in patients with early-stage HCC. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on a prospectively maintained multicenter database on patients who underwent curative resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A HCC between 2017 and 2020. Patients were classified into three groups according to the severity in the grading of MVI: M0 (no MVI), M1 (1-5 sites of MVI occurring ≤1 cm away from the tumor), and M2 (>5 sites occurring ≤1 cm and/or any site occurring >1 cm away from the tumor). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared among the groups. RESULTS: Of 388 patients, M0, M1, and M2 of the MVI gradings were present in 223 (57.5%), 118 (30.4%), and 47 (12.1%) patients, respectively. The median OS and RFS in patients with M0, M1, and M2 were 61.1, 52.7, and 27.4 months; and 43.0, 29.1, and 13.1 months (both P <0.001), respectively. Multivariable analyses identified both M1 and M2 to be independent risk factors for OS [hazard ratio (HR): 1.682, P =0.003; and HR: 3.570, P <0.001] and RFS (HR: 1.550, P =0.037; and HR: 2.256, P <0.001). CONCLUSION: The severity in the grading of MVI was independently associated with recurrence and survival after HCC resection. Patients with the presence of MVI, especially those with a more severe MVI grading (M2), require more stringent recurrence surveillance and/or active adjuvant therapy against recurrence.

Hydroxymethylation and Epigenetic Drugs: New Insights into the Diagnosis and Treatment in Epigenetics of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly lethal and heterogeneous malignancy with multiple genetic alternations and complex signaling pathways. The complexity and multifactorial nature of HCC pose a tremendous challenge regarding its diagnosis and treatment. Emerging evidence has indicated an important regulatory role of epigenetic modifications in HCC initiation and progression. Epigenetic modifications are stably heritable gene expression traits caused by changing the accessibility of chromatin structure and genetic activity without alteration in the DNA sequence and have been gradually recognized as a hallmark of cancer. In addition, accumulating data suggest a potential value of altered hydroxymethylation in epigenetic modifications and therapeutics targeting the epigenetically mediated regulation. As such, probing the epigenetic field in the era of precision oncology is a valid avenue for promoting the accuracy of early diagnosis and improving the oncological prognosis of HCC patients. This review focuses on the diagnostic performance and clinical utility of 5-hydroxymethylated cytosine, the primary intermediate product of the demethylation process, for early HCC diagnosis and discusses the promising applications of epigenetic-based therapeutic regimens for HCC.

Association of Concurrent Metabolic Syndrome with Long-term Oncological Prognosis Following Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Multicenter Study of 1753 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Although hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection remains the main cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide, metabolic syndrome, with its increase in prevalence, has become an important and significant risk factor for HCC. This study was designed to investigate the association of concurrent metabolic syndrome with long-term prognosis following liver resection for patients with HBV-related HCC. METHODS: From a Chinese, multicenter database, HBV-infected patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2010 and 2020 were identified. Long-term oncological prognosis, including overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and early (≤2 years of surgery) and late (>2 years) recurrences were compared between patients with versus those without concurrent metabolic syndrome. RESULTS: Of 1753 patients, 163 (9.3%) patients had concurrent metabolic syndrome. Compared with patients without metabolic syndrome, patients with metabolic syndrome had poorer 5-year OS (47.5% vs. 61.0%; P = 0.010) and RFS (28.3% vs. 44.2%; P = 0.003) rates and a higher 5-year overall recurrence rate (67.3% vs. 53.3%; P = 0.024). Multivariate analysis revealed that concurrent metabolic syndrome was independently associated with poorer OS (hazard ratio: 1.300; 95% confidence interval: 1.018-1.660; P = 0.036) and RFS (1.314; 1.062-1.627; P = 0.012) rates, and increased rates of late recurrence (hazard ratio: 1.470; 95% confidence interval: 1.004-2.151; P = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: In HBV-infected patients with HCC, concurrent metabolic syndrome was associated with poorer postoperative long-term oncologic survival outcomes. These results suggested that patients with metabolic syndrome should undergo enhanced surveillance for tumor recurrence even after 2 years of surgery to early detect late HCC recurrence. Whether improving metabolic syndrome can reduce postoperative recurrence of HCC deserves further exploration.

Prospective validation of the Eastern Staging in predicting survival after surgical resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study from China.

BACKGROUND: The Eastern Staging System, which was specially developed for patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has been proposed for more than ten years. To prospectively validate the predictive accuracy of the Eastern staging on long-term survival after HCC resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC from 2011 to 2020 at 10 Chinese hospitals were identified from a prospectively collected database. The survival predictive accuracy was evaluated and compared between the Eastern Staging with six other staging systems, including the JIS, BCLC, Okuda, CLIP, 8th AJCC TNM, and HKLC staging. RESULTS: Among 2365 patients, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 84.2%, 64.5%, and 52.6%, respectively. Among these seven staging systems, the Eastern staging was associated with the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ2: 408.5) and homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ2: 447.3), and the highest discriminatory ability (the areas under curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality: 0.776, 0.787, and 0.768, respectively). In addition, the Eastern staging was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (Akaike information criterion: 2982.33). CONCLUSION: Using a large multicenter prospectively collected database, the Eastern Staging was found to show the best predictive accuracy on long-term overall survival in patients with resectable HCC than the other 6 commonly-used staging systems.